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0x6f87226f46d8511fb169fdba58589e8184d9f277
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 64% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 64%Verified PnL#223 of 625
Beats 16%30-day PnL#434 of 519
Beats 58%Win rate#236 of 566
Beats 94%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#33 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board30
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-04-30
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$124K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.04MVolume
68.4%Win rate · n=152
6.06%PnL ÷ Volume
-$2K7-day PnL
-$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$123.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $157only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$24partial
Liquidity rewards$105
6.05% ROI65.8% Win rate · n=158
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$154.7K · loses the most in Other -$36.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$131.6K[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?Politics · Yes
- +$33.7KWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · Yes
- +$14.8KRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics · No
- +$10.0KTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Politics · No
- +$6,957Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$35.0KWhich party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?Other · Republican
- -$32.5KWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Politics · No
- -$17.1KWill Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Politics · Yes
- -$10.4KWill another man win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Politics · Yes
- -$7,500Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting?Other · Yes
Covers all 152 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
$124KVerified lifetime PnL
$117KEarned off the board
30Days on board
$7KBoard-day sum
-$2K7-day PnL
-$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $386 |
| 2026-05 | 5 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 8 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 9 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $95 |
Which boards
Politics 29Weather 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
86% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $24 (59% maker / 41% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio86%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$24
Maker rebate$14
Taker rebate$10
Maker share59%
Taker share41%
Window2026-04-14 → 2026-10-27
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$7K
Verified lifetime PnL$124K
Verification gap$117K
Trade on Polymarket
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)