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0x6fd4e7920761623e4f2852bb60c0b59a709f4fa0
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 11% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 11%Verified PnL#552 of 624
Beats 32%30-day PnL#399 of 594
Beats 62%Win rate#223 of 592
Beats 0%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#615 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board38
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-06-08
Last seen2026-10-30
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$18K
Verified lifetime PnL
$281KVolume
70.3%Win rate · n=91
-6.39%PnL ÷ Volume
-$1K7-day PnL
$61430-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$17.9K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,304only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$67partial
Liquidity rewards$39
-6.39% ROI66.7% Win rate · n=96
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$148 · loses the most in Sports -$3,338
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,392Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- +$2,313Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?Sports · No
- +$2,192World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Sports · Yes
- +$1,955Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No
- +$1,339Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$9,187Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- -$7,021US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics · No
- -$2,377Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?Culture · No / Yes
- -$2,213UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Sports · Ilia Topuria
- -$2,025Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Politics · No
Covers all 93 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$18KVerified lifetime PnL
$21KBelow board-day sum
38Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum
-$1K7-day PnL
$61430-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 3 | $355 |
| 2026-07 | 9 | $777 |
| 2026-08 | 16 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $456 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $261 |
Which boards
Politics 15Sports 12Culture 11Weather 3
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
34% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $67 (64% maker / 36% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio34%
Fills measured486
Window ends2026-10-29
Window scope148 days
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$67
Maker rebate$43
Taker rebate$24
Maker share64%
Taker share36%
Window2026-06-23 → 2026-10-18
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL-$18K
Verification gap-$21K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)