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0x6ff2cb14da8be7eb57541d250a0196c5f295f140
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 52% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 52%Verified PnL#297 of 624
Beats 22%30-day PnL#463 of 594
Beats 74%Win rate#149 of 592
Beats 76%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#147 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board37
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-30
Last seen2026-08-19
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$59K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.69MVolume
78.9%Win rate (sample) · n=398
2.23%PnL ÷ Volume
-$07-day PnL
-$97430-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$59.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $534only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,662partial
Liquidity rewards$570
2.20% ROI35.1% Win rate · n=894
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$149.1K · loses the most in Sports -$68.36
Top 5 winning markets
- +$4,883Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 6?Weather · Yes
- +$3,842Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 15?Weather · Yes
- +$3,583Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?Weather · Yes
- +$3,510Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?Weather · Yes
- +$2,882Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?Weather · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$606Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 1?Weather · Yes
- -$302Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 18?Weather · Yes
- -$286Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 8?Weather · Yes
- -$244Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?Weather · No
- -$243Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4?Weather · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$59KVerified lifetime PnL
$45KEarned off the board
37Days on board
$14KBoard-day sum
-$07-day PnL
-$97430-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $65 |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 16 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 14 | $8K |
Which boards
Weather 37
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
93% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2K (41% maker / 59% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio93%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-08-19
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$686
Taker rebate$976
Maker share41%
Taker share59%
Window2026-05-18 → 2026-08-20
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$14K
Verified lifetime PnL$59K
Verification gap$45K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)