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0x6ffb4354cbe6e0f9989e3b55564ec5fb8646a834
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 84% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 84%Verified PnL#100 of 624
Beats 4%30-day PnL#569 of 594
Beats 83%Win rate#97 of 592
Beats 62%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#234 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board45
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-27
Last seen2026-10-06
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$586K
Verified lifetime PnL
$47.82MVolume
84.7%Win rate (sample) · n=399
1.47%PnL ÷ Volume
-$4K7-day PnL
-$158K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$585.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $6,514only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,946partial
Liquidity rewards$1,843
1.22% ROI83% Win rate · n=407
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$185.1K · loses the most in Crypto -$57.0K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$115.9KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$35.2KWill Trump say "Soleimani" during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?Politics · Yes
- +$35.1KSolana Up or Down - January 7, 11AM ETCrypto · Up
- +$27.7KWill monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in December?Finance · Yes
- +$27.0KBYU Cougars vs. Colorado Buffaloes (W)Sports · Colorado Buffaloes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$52.4KWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?Crypto · Yes
- -$51.8KBucks vs. GrizzliesSports · Bucks
- -$34.7KWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 22?Crypto · No
- -$34.4KBitcoin Up or Down on October 5?Crypto · Down
- -$33.7KTorino FC vs. AC Monza: O/U 1.5Sports · Over
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$586KVerified lifetime PnL
$559KEarned off the board
45Days on board
$27KBoard-day sum
-$4K7-day PnL
-$158K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $982 |
| 2026-04 | 2 | $532 |
| 2026-05 | 5 | $3K |
| 2026-06 | 12 | $9K |
| 2026-07 | 10 | $6K |
| 2026-08 | 12 | $6K |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $257 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $1K |
Which boards
Politics 22Sports 14Crypto 5Mentions 3Culture 3Weather 2Finance 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
56% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2K (75% maker / 25% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio56%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$1K
Taker rebate$495
Maker share75%
Taker share25%
Window2026-01-18 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$27K
Verified lifetime PnL$586K
Verification gap$559K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)