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0x70c14608f9c06ad9a5f48f1d6ddb6c0fc2d41be2
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 49% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 49%Verified PnL#318 of 624
Beats 95%30-day PnL#30 of 594
Beats 73%Win rate#155 of 592
Beats 70%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#184 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board22
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-26
Last seen2026-07-12
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$48K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.48MVolume
77.8%Win rate · n=185
1.94%PnL ÷ Volume
$513K7-day PnL
$513K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$48.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $6only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$73partial
Liquidity rewards$995
1.94% ROI77.8% Win rate · n=185
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$46.3K · loses the most in Culture -$217
Top 5 winning markets
- +$15.7KUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Politics · No / Yes
- +$11.9KWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Politics · Yes
- +$3,009Netanyahu out by March 31?Politics · No
- +$2,610Trump out as President by April 30?Politics · No
- +$2,567Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$15.2KRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- -$1,934Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics · No / Yes
- -$1,473US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics · Yes / No
- -$653Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics · Yes
- -$447US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics · No
Covers all 196 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$48KVerified lifetime PnL
$41KEarned off the board
22Days on board
$7KBoard-day sum
$513K7-day PnL
$513K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 4 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 10 | $4K |
| 2026-06 | 5 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $409 |
Which boards
Politics 21Tech 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
98% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $73 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio98%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-08-04
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$73
Maker rebate$73
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-04 → 2026-08-01
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$7K
Verified lifetime PnL$48K
Verification gap$41K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)