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0x72f7b4aa5acaff9629917cf4ec34620a41c492f7
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 23% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 23%Verified PnL#476 of 624
Beats 11%30-day PnL#525 of 594
Beats 28%Win rate#423 of 592
Beats 26%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#458 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board47
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-26
Last seen2026-10-29
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$3K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.67MVolume
52%Win rate (sample) · n=398
0.15%PnL ÷ Volume
-$3K7-day PnL
-$14K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$3,272
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $302only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,023partial
Liquidity rewards$1,042
0.12% ROI42.3% Win rate · n=489
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$30.1K · loses the most in Tech & science -$895
Top 5 winning markets
- +$9,460Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Sports · Yes
- +$9,319Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceSports · England
- +$4,855Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- +$4,852Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics · No
- +$4,329Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$6,801US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics · No
- -$5,109Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Sports · Ecuador
- -$4,864Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · No
- -$3,749Spread: France (-1.5)Sports · Morocco
- -$2,920Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?Sports · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$3KVerified lifetime PnL
$14KBelow board-day sum
47Days on board
$18KBoard-day sum
-$3K7-day PnL
-$14K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $612 |
| 2026-05 | 5 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 8 | $6K |
| 2026-07 | 9 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 17 | $7K |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $213 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $411 |
Which boards
Sports 26Politics 20Mentions 2Culture 2Finance 1Crypto 1Tech 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
68% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (81% maker / 19% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio68%
Fills measured498
Window ends2026-10-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$829
Taker rebate$194
Maker share81%
Taker share19%
Window2026-04-23 → 2026-10-28
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$18K
Verified lifetime PnL$3K
Verification gap-$14K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)