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0x731a241767938bb23d1b2fac4c9cd2f3cea9033f
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 74% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 74%Verified PnL#158 of 624
Beats 88%30-day PnL#72 of 594
Beats 98%Win rate#9 of 592
Beats 30%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#430 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board17
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-11
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$281K
Verified lifetime PnL
$35.71MVolume
99.3%Win rate (sample) · n=399
0.26%PnL ÷ Volume
$6K7-day PnL
$179K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$281.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $23only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$863partial
Liquidity rewards$2,491
0.79% ROI99.3% Win rate · n=399
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$169.3K · loses the most in Culture -$1,340
Top 5 winning markets
- +$75.3KWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 22?Crypto · No
- +$49.5KWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 22?Crypto · Yes
- +$49.4KWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?Crypto · No
- +$10.5KSao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Anna BlinkovaSports · Kaitlin Quevedo
- +$10.4KWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of April 20 2026?Finance · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$20.0KTampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Sports · Over
- -$8,776Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)Sports · Gen.G
- -$3,882S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?Finance · Down / Up
- -$2,024Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Crypto · Yes
- -$1,940Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 15?Crypto · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$281KVerified lifetime PnL
$279KEarned off the board
17Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
$6K7-day PnL
$179K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $249 |
| 2026-05 | 2 | $426 |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $475 |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $265 |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $318 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $197 |
Which boards
Sports 10Finance 5Crypto 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
70% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $863 (82% maker / 18% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio70%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-12
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$863
Maker rebate$711
Taker rebate$152
Maker share82%
Taker share18%
Window2026-01-09 → 2026-10-29
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL$281K
Verification gap$279K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)