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0x73534402899084573c0f0ddc003674eba01cb6c5
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 29% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 29%Verified PnL#442 of 625
Beats 97%Win rate#15 of 566
Beats 36%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#375 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board23
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-06-25
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$8K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.77MVolume
97.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.55%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$7,635
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $50only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$18
0.43% ROI43.6% Win rate · n=897
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$22.9K · loses the most in Crypto -$12.2K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$9,440Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?Weather · Yes
- +$3,562Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 24?Weather · Yes
- +$1,293Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 28?Weather · Yes
- +$1,021Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 13?Weather · Yes
- +$644LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSports · Bilibili Gaming
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,973Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?Weather · Yes
- -$1,678Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 22?Weather · Yes
- -$732Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 9?Weather · Yes
- -$486Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 8?Weather · No
- -$413Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETCrypto · Down / Up
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
$8KVerified lifetime PnL
$6KEarned off the board
23Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 3 | $280 |
| 2026-07 | 8 | $940 |
| 2026-08 | 7 | $358 |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $180 |
Which boards
Weather 23
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
7% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio7%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL$8K
Verification gap$6K
Trade on Polymarket
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)