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0x748ac19f73c96312e98227f49f65699542943c56
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 33% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 33%Verified PnL#413 of 624
Beats 47%30-day PnL#311 of 594
Beats 41%Win rate#346 of 592
Beats 26%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#457 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board45
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-03
Last seen2026-11-01
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$17K
Verified lifetime PnL
$6.51MVolume
58.9%Win rate (sample) · n=397
0.15%PnL ÷ Volume
$11K7-day PnL
$5K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$17.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $6only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,412partial
Liquidity rewards$14.8K
0.27% ROI54.5% Win rate · n=429
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$4,717 · loses the most in Tech & science -$3,778
Top 5 winning markets
- +$4,668Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Culture · No
- +$4,562Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics · No / Yes
- +$2,402Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Politics · No
- +$2,385US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics · Yes / No
- +$2,250US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4,127US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · No
- -$3,675Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$3,194US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics · No
- -$2,842US forces enter Iran by April 30?Politics · No
- -$2,519Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$17KVerified lifetime PnL
$2KEarned off the board
45Days on board
$15KBoard-day sum
$11K7-day PnL
$5K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 7 | $3K |
| 2026-06 | 4 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 10 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 9 | $4K |
| 2026-09 | 12 | $820 |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $3K |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $2K |
Which boards
Politics 33Culture 4Sports 3Tech 3Weather 1Finance 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
91% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (92% maker / 8% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio91%
Fills measured482
Window ends2026-09-30
Window scope5 days
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$1K
Taker rebate$112
Maker share92%
Taker share8%
Window2026-05-04 → 2026-10-15
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$15K
Verified lifetime PnL$17K
Verification gap$2K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)