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← All boardsWanderingPanda
0x74ff920ae2c6314627395eaf42b10fbb0604be5b
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 11% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 11%Verified PnL#556 of 625
Beats 48%Win rate#292 of 566
Beats 15%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#503 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board24
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-05-03
Last seen2026-08-26
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$20K
Verified lifetime PnL
$10.88MVolume
63.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-0.17%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$19.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$1,403
-0.18% ROI35.1% Win rate · n=758
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$3,095 · loses the most in Culture -$805
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,166Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$1,103Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$1,016Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Culture · Yes / No
- +$818Trump out as President before 2027?Politics · Yes
- +$725Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$305Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?Culture · No
- -$283Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$274Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Politics · No
- -$270Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$267Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?Culture · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
-$20KVerified lifetime PnL
$24KBelow board-day sum
24Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 4 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 5 | $595 |
| 2026-07 | 11 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $394 |
Which boards
Culture 24
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
72% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio72%
Fills measured496
Window ends2026-09-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL-$20K
Verification gap-$24K
Trade on Polymarket
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)