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← All boardsa5533
0x758dac51ba3cc9a246a79787da9df11c5f425d9e
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 13% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 13%Verified PnL#540 of 624
Beats 2%30-day PnL#580 of 594
Beats 9%Win rate#536 of 592
Beats 17%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#509 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board15
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-09-04
Last seen2026-09-25
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$9K
Verified lifetime PnL
$28.44MVolume
37.2%Win rate (sample) · n=395
-0.03%PnL ÷ Volume
-$347K7-day PnL
-$284K30-day PnL
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$9,145
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$56.1Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$10.7K
-0.03% ROI18.9% Win rate · n=777
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$55.96 · loses the most in Politics -$69.2K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$13.7KWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$13.5KPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$3,998Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics · Yes
- +$2,659Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics · Yes
- +$2,095Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$26.3KUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics · No
- -$22.4KWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · No
- -$21.0KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · No
- -$18.4KUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics · Yes
- -$11.0KWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$9KVerified lifetime PnL
$13KBelow board-day sum
15Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum
-$347K7-day PnL
-$284K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | 15 | $4K |
Which boards
Weather 7Mentions 6Tech 6Politics 4Culture 4Sports 4Finance 3
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
100% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $56K (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio100%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$56K
Maker rebate$56K
Taker rebate$10
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-08-21 → 2026-10-29
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$411K
Rebate$40K
Net total$451K
Window2026-09-29 → 2026-10-29
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL-$9K
Verification gap-$13K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)