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beatyesterday
0x7789957157a13aa3610e26d61ef8f99317b7a280
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 7% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 7%Verified PnL#1043 of 1130
Beats 63%30-day PnL#299 of 810
Beats 88%Win rate#109 of 928
Beats 9%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#867 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board34
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-27
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$87K
Verified lifetime PnL
$8.65MVolume
90%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-1.00%PnL ÷ Volume
$12K7-day PnL
$17K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$86.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $430only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,032partial
Liquidity rewards$389
-1.00% ROI87.8% Win rate · n=410
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$6,162 · loses the most in Finance -$81.0K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$4,812US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Politics · No
- +$4,629Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$2,342Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?Sports · Yes
- +$1,822Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Finance · Yes
- +$1,743Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$76.4KMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Finance · Yes / No
- -$14.5KWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?Culture · No
- -$8,457Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Culture · No
- -$8,000Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of January 2026?Finance · Yes
- -$5,626Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Sports · Over / Under
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 10 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$5,577). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$87KVerified lifetime PnL
$97KBelow board-day sum
34Days on board
$11KBoard-day sum
$12K7-day PnL
$17K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $567 |
| 2026-05 | 12 | $5K |
| 2026-06 | 7 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 9 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $591 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $96 |
Which boards
Finance 14Culture 7Crypto 7Politics 6Sports 3
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
62% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (90% maker / 10% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio62%
Fills measured493
Window ends2026-09-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$925
Taker rebate$107
Maker share90%
Taker share10%
Window2026-04-03 → 2026-11-03
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$11K
Verified lifetime PnL-$87K
Verification gap-$97K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)