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0x77fbd6bdba89da0ce4ae6e5bee380d6a51de266c
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 52% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 52%Verified PnL#296 of 624
Beats 52%30-day PnL#282 of 594
Beats 47%Win rate#311 of 592
Beats 59%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#252 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board32
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-07-10
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$61K
Verified lifetime PnL
$4.61MVolume
63.2%Win rate · n=144
1.31%PnL ÷ Volume
$3K7-day PnL
$7K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$61.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $648only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,411partial
Liquidity rewards$903
1.33% ROI61.1% Win rate · n=149
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$25.1K · loses the most in Sports -$141
Top 5 winning markets
- +$19.0KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$10.1KWill Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics · Yes
- +$7,227Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics · No
- +$4,829Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No
- +$4,149Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$5,019Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Politics · No
- -$2,312Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- -$1,316Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Politics · Yes
- -$1,286Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$868Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No
Covers all 154 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$61KVerified lifetime PnL
$46KEarned off the board
32Days on board
$15KBoard-day sum
$3K7-day PnL
$7K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 11 | $5K |
| 2026-08 | 12 | $8K |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $2K |
Which boards
Politics 31Finance 1Sports 1Tech 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
95% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (77% maker / 23% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio95%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$1K
Taker rebate$327
Maker share77%
Taker share23%
Window2026-07-10 → 2026-10-23
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$15K
Verified lifetime PnL$61K
Verification gap$46K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)