ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
h4xor
0x7a251ff68217a0418a8f7eddede5b638f8c881d1
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 34% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
$8K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$8,367 · loses the most in Culture -$3,025
Top 5 winning markets
- +$4,248Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?Tech & science · Yes
- +$3,709Elon out of Trump administration before July?Politics · Yes
- +$3,022Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?Politics · Yes
- +$2,056Will MrBeast's latest video get between 50 and 55 million views on week 1?Culture · Yes
- +$1,844Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech & science · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$7,165Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Politics · No
- -$3,640Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$3,439Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Politics · Yes
- -$3,126Will MrBeast's latest video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1?Culture · Yes
- -$2,610Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 1 | $86 |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $105 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
Measured layers
69% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)