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0x7a8885c8dc075f0578b648f29fa233408a7d41cc

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 4% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 4%Verified PnL#1081 of 1130
Beats 80%30-day PnL#158 of 810
Beats 68%Win rate#290 of 928
Beats 8%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#872 of 954

Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board32
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-26
Last seen2026-08-29
VerdictNet negative

At a glance

-$233K

Verified lifetime PnL

$20.68MVolume
74.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-1.09%PnL ÷ Volume
$62K7-day PnL
$76K30-day PnL
2026-04 2026-08

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$232.9K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $1,494only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$17.0Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$630
-1.13% ROI44.4% Win rate · n=674

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleMostly maker99% of 500 archived fills were maker (resting order) fillsHolds to settlementSells are only 0% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 10.1 days)Mid-price trader69% of 500 buys between 35¢ and 65¢Mainly sports98% of last 500 fills (over 10.1 days) are sports marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Sports +$1.68M

Sports400 pos.+$1.68M

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$156.6KGolden Knights vs. AvalancheSports · Golden Knights / Avalanche
  2. +$88.7KWill Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?Sports · No / Yes
  3. +$67.5KArizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami MarlinsSports · Miami Marlins
  4. +$65.8KWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?Sports · No / Yes
  5. +$62.8KWill Senegal win on 2026-06-22?Sports · No

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$80.8KSpread: France (-2.5)Sports · Iraq
  2. -$74.6KCleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles DodgersSports · Los Angeles Dodgers
  3. -$72.0KKansas City Royals vs. Atlanta BravesSports · Atlanta Braves
  4. -$51.4KColorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue JaysSports · Toronto Blue Jays
  5. -$44.0KRavens vs. SteelersSports · Ravens

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 274 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$2.69M). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04

Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →

-$233KVerified lifetime PnL
$803KBelow board-day sum
32Days on board
$570KBoard-day sum
$62K7-day PnL
$76K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-04 3 $32K
2026-05 17 $396K
2026-06 8 $142K
2026-07 1 $121
2026-08 3 $303

Which boards

Sports 32All markets 12

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen

Measured layers

99% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $17K (78% maker / 22% taker); recent window rebate share 31%

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

passive (market maker)

Passive ratio99%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Maker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$17K
Maker rebate$13K
Taker rebate$4K
Maker share78%
Taker share22%
Window2026-03-31 → 2026-11-04

Profit composition

Rebate material

Trade cash$4K
Rebate$2K
Net total$5K
Rebate share31%
Window2026-10-05 → 2026-11-04

Verification check

Net negative

Board-day sum$570K
Verified lifetime PnL-$233K
Verification gap-$803K

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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)