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theowalcott
0x7ad71d79a3bb90d0a87a06500fa0fe11663842aa
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 91% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 91%Verified PnL#99 of 1156
Beats 92%30-day PnL#60 of 812
#1Win rate#1 of 963
Beats 84%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#159 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board23
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-07-26
Last seen2026-11-02
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$883K
Verified lifetime PnL
$14.45MVolume
100%Win rate · n=92
3.19%PnL ÷ Volume
-$311K7-day PnL
$281K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$882.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $25.4Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$29.9Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$0
6.11% ROI43% Win rate · n=214
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$950.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$236.0KSpread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)Sports · Philadelphia Union
- +$215.4KWill Philadelphia Union win on 2026-09-13?Sports · Yes
- +$192.0KWill Nashville SC win on 2026-10-28?Sports · No
- +$191.4KWill FC Arouca win on 2026-10-11?Sports · Yes
- +$182.5KWill Real Salt Lake win on 2026-10-24?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$208.0KSpread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Sports · Vancouver Whitecaps FC
- -$183.9KWill FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-19?Sports · No
- -$160.7KWill Minnesota United FC win on 2026-09-09?Sports · Yes
- -$160.1KWill Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-01?Sports · Yes
- -$157.7KSpread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)Sports · Philadelphia Union
Covers all 255 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 122 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$4.96M). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$883KVerified lifetime PnL
$731KBelow board-day sum
23Days on board
$1.61MBoard-day sum
-$311K7-day PnL
$281K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 2 | $128K |
| 2026-08 | 10 | $569K |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $257K |
| 2026-10 | 4 | $513K |
| 2026-11 | 2 | $147K |
Which boards
Sports 23All markets 16
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
94% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $30K (36% maker / 64% taker); recent window rebate share 4%
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio94%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-20
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$30K
Maker rebate$11K
Taker rebate$19K
Maker share36%
Taker share64%
Window2026-07-23 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
Trade-dominated
Trade cash$278K
Rebate$11K
Net total$289K
Rebate share4%
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$1.61M
Verified lifetime PnL$883K
Verification gap-$731K
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)