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0x7b02b2bac2a30ed5e40b7094e734f4c3dc2a4991
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 91% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 91%Verified PnL#56 of 624
Beats 6%30-day PnL#554 of 594
Beats 37%Win rate#372 of 592
Beats 71%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#176 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board39
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-27
Last seen2026-10-29
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$1.13M
Verified lifetime PnL
$52.54MVolume
55.8%Win rate · n=129
2.02%PnL ÷ Volume
-$73K7-day PnL
-$67K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1.13M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $9,871only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$22.5Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$8,267
2.16% ROI48.3% Win rate · n=149
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$847.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$405.5KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- +$371.3KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · No / Yes
- +$290.3KKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · Yes / No
- +$228.7KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- +$216.1KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$102.6KWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · No
- -$84.2KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · No
- -$80.6KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Finance · No / Yes
- -$76.0KWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · No / Yes
- -$73.7KWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Finance · No / Yes
Covers all 147 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$1.13MVerified lifetime PnL
$1.01MEarned off the board
39Days on board
$121KBoard-day sum
-$73K7-day PnL
-$67K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 3 | $977 |
| 2026-05 | 11 | $7K |
| 2026-06 | 8 | $12K |
| 2026-07 | 9 | $89K |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $6K |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $365 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $6K |
Which boards
Politics 20Sports 10Crypto 7All markets 6Finance 4
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
97% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $22K (38% maker / 62% taker); recent window rebate share 0%
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio97%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$22K
Maker rebate$8K
Taker rebate$14K
Maker share38%
Taker share62%
Window2026-04-16 → 2026-10-27
Profit composition
Trade-dominated
Trade cash$347K
Rebate$931
Net total$348K
Rebate share0%
Window2026-10-01 → 2026-10-31
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$121K
Verified lifetime PnL$1.13M
Verification gap$1.01M
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)