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coali10
0x7bc14171ccb0d3e6bac219ec6a76211826e28db4
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 84% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 84%Verified PnL#176 of 1130
Beats 28%30-day PnL#576 of 810
Beats 63%Win rate#336 of 928
Beats 59%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#384 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board60
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-06-03
Last seen2026-10-03
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$408K
Verified lifetime PnL
$32.66MVolume
72.7%Win rate · n=172
1.25%PnL ÷ Volume
-$2K7-day PnL
$5530-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$408.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $11.4Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$19.7Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$3,418
1.25% ROI31.4% Win rate · n=401
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$436.8K · loses the most in Sports -$121.2K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$370.9KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$99.5KWill Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics · Yes / No
- +$91.8KWill Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Sports · Yes
- +$86.3KWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Sports · Yes
- +$84.0KWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes / No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$100.0KCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerSports · Team Falcons
- -$91.4KWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?Sports · Yes
- -$90.0K49ers vs. RaidersSports · Raiders
- -$76.0KDota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsSports · Team Liquid
- -$62.5KOusmane Dembélé: 2+ shotsSports · No
Covers all 407 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 228 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$1.33M). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$408KVerified lifetime PnL
$188KEarned off the board
60Days on board
$220KBoard-day sum
-$2K7-day PnL
$5530-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 19 | $88K |
| 2026-07 | 17 | $33K |
| 2026-08 | 14 | $94K |
| 2026-09 | 8 | $1K |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $3K |
Which boards
Politics 44Sports 16Crypto 6All markets 6Finance 5Culture 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
83% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $20K (63% maker / 37% taker); recent window rebate share 0%
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio83%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-03
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$20K
Maker rebate$12K
Taker rebate$7K
Maker share63%
Taker share37%
Window2026-06-03 → 2026-10-04
Profit composition
Trade-dominated
Trade cash$64K
Rebate$0
Net total$64K
Rebate share0%
Window2026-10-05 → 2026-11-04
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$220K
Verified lifetime PnL$408K
Verification gap$188K
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)