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← All boardsDiabolical-Prize
0x7c37b52eb226bcb9411375ec48b0169663fb6aeb
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 94% of the 622 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 94%Verified PnL#38 of 622
Beats 99%30-day PnL#3 of 308
Beats 95%Win rate#28 of 568
Beats 37%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#369 of 591
Compared with the 622 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board9
Archive span202 days
First seen2026-09-11
Last seen2026-10-11
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$1.67M
Verified lifetime PnL
$70.18MVolume
95.2%Win rate · n=186
0.60%PnL ÷ Volume
-$07-day PnL
$2.37M30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-31
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1.67M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $27.9Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$210.3Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$1,071
2.38% ROI46.7% Win rate · n=383
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$18.19M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1.56MLoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-InSports · FURIA Esports
- +$910.0KCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsSports · Spirit
- +$660.0KLions vs. PanthersSports · Panthers
- +$462.0KSeahawks vs. CommandersSports · Commanders
- +$427.6KCounter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BSports · Alliance
Top 5 losing markets
- -$183.6KSpread: Chiefs (-6.5)Sports · Chiefs
- -$108.3KCounter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageSports · M80 / Legacy
- -$1,863Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?Sports · Yes
- -$1,001Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs ReThink (+1.5)Sports · ReThink
Covers the 202 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-31
$1.67MVerified lifetime PnL
$700KBelow board-day sum
9Days on board
$2.37MBoard-day sum
-$07-day PnL
$2.37M30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | 5 | $1.08M |
| 2026-10 | 4 | $1.29M |
Which boards
All markets 7Sports 5
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
99% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $210K (24% maker / 76% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio99%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-27
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$210K
Maker rebate$51K
Taker rebate$160K
Maker share24%
Taker share76%
Window2026-09-04 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$12.60M
Rebate$138K
Net total$12.73M
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$2.37M
Verified lifetime PnL$1.67M
Verification gap-$700K
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Generated 2026-10-31 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-31 (202 snapshots)