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AF2028
0x7d56d84778fc6caa66f517be0ebe1df5d9f54950
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 8% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
-$80K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
No category in profit; worst is Politics -$64.0K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$19.3KUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$14.5KUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Politics · No
- +$12.0KUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Politics · No
- +$8,308US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?Politics · No
- +$3,550US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$37.6KUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Politics · Yes
- -$27.0KWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics · Yes
- -$25.6KIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Politics · No
- -$18.0KWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Politics · Yes
- -$13.2KUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Politics · Yes
Covers all 36 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 4 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$7,929). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 7 | $7K |
| 2026-06 | 2 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 4 | $5K |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $12K |
Which boards
Method breakdown
No method layer measured yet for this address.
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)