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0x7db5452784044466615b3542703fd95c9696cf18
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 26% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 26%Verified PnL#461 of 624
Beats 43%30-day PnL#335 of 594
Beats 2%Win rate#575 of 592
Beats 26%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#456 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board18
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-13
Last seen2026-09-29
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$6K
Verified lifetime PnL
$5.35MVolume
26.3%Win rate (sample) · n=399
0.15%PnL ÷ Volume
$7657-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$6,486
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$452partial
Liquidity rewards$155
0.12% ROI11.8% Win rate · n=893
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$84.3K · loses the most in Crypto -$369
Top 5 winning markets
- +$3,753Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$3,123Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$3,119Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$2,315Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$2,275Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$858Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?Culture · Yes / No
- -$651Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$628Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$498Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?Culture · Yes / No
- -$450Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Culture · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$6KVerified lifetime PnL
$724Earned off the board
18Days on board
$6KBoard-day sum
$7657-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $347 |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $581 |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $789 |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $244 |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $4K |
Which boards
Culture 17Sports 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
74% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $452 (97% maker / 3% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio74%
Fills measured499
Window ends2026-09-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$452
Maker rebate$437
Taker rebate$16
Maker share97%
Taker share3%
Window2026-04-06 → 2026-10-21
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$6K
Verified lifetime PnL$6K
Verification gap$724
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)