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lightsout912
0x7e1d3cb44c3f2a6ec9abc667820ee2645bd44d41
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 30% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
$4K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$7,342 · loses the most in Politics -$79.68
Top 5 winning markets
- +$911Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- +$400Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$337Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$296Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$231Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Tech & science · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$488USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto · No
- -$448US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · No
- -$246Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Politics · Yes
- -$186Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Sports · Newcastle United FC
- -$162US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 179 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$6,062). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 4 | $85 |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $153 |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $56 |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $46 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $52 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
No method layer measured yet for this address.
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)