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Debosnys
0x7e30c3a56d89edac738d788dd218a9e64fb91e50
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 63% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 63%Verified PnL#416 of 1130
Beats 15%30-day PnL#685 of 810
Beats 83%Win rate#151 of 928
Beats 30%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#667 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board21
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-03-19
Last seen2026-10-11
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$77K
Verified lifetime PnL
$36.44MVolume
86.3%Win rate (sample) · n=380
0.22%PnL ÷ Volume
-$7847-day PnL
-$5K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$76.9K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $5only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$563partial
Liquidity rewards$6,588
0.21% ROI85.6% Win rate · n=383
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$36.9K · loses the most in Crypto -$34.5K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$9,579Will the government shutdown end November 13?Politics · Yes / No
- +$9,136Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- +$8,665Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Culture · No
- +$4,302Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Politics · No
- +$4,073Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Culture · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$14.7KBitcoin Up or Down on August 20?Crypto · Up
- -$14.3KIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?Politics · No
- -$9,843Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?Crypto · Up
- -$8,052Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?Finance · No / Yes
- -$7,268Bitcoin Up or Down – May 28 (9 PM ET Candle)Crypto · Up
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 3 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$1,784). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$77KVerified lifetime PnL
$69KEarned off the board
21Days on board
$8KBoard-day sum
-$7847-day PnL
-$5K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $128 |
| 2026-04 | 1 | $125 |
| 2026-05 | 9 | $5K |
| 2026-06 | 2 | $642 |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $267 |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $922 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $681 |
Which boards
Politics 7Mentions 6Sports 3Weather 2Finance 1Crypto 1Tech 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
95% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $563 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio95%
Fills measured492
Window ends2026-10-02
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$563
Maker rebate$563
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-01-09 → 2026-10-20
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$8K
Verified lifetime PnL$77K
Verification gap$69K
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)