ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
Cannae
0x7ea571c40408f340c1c8fc8eaacebab53c1bde7b
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 93% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 93%Verified PnL#76 of 1130
Beats 5%30-day PnL#762 of 810
Beats 51%Win rate#449 of 928
Beats 50%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#472 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board67
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$1.21M
Verified lifetime PnL
$144.72MVolume
66.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.87%PnL ÷ Volume
$64K7-day PnL
-$58K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1.21M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $62only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$81.4Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$10.8K
0.83% ROI31.9% Win rate · n=900
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$3.64M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$235.9KWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?Sports · Yes
- +$167.3KWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Sports · No
- +$155.6KWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?Sports · Yes
- +$144.4KWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?Sports · Yes
- +$110.3KWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?Sports · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$138.4KWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Sports · No / Yes
- -$85.8KWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?Sports · No
- -$84.0KWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Sports · Yes
- -$73.9KWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Sports · Yes
- -$71.8KWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Sports · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 3000+ losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$2.19M). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$1.21MVerified lifetime PnL
$750KEarned off the board
67Days on board
$456KBoard-day sum
$64K7-day PnL
-$58K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 3 | $3K |
| 2026-05 | 14 | $52K |
| 2026-06 | 12 | $309K |
| 2026-07 | 10 | $49K |
| 2026-08 | 16 | $35K |
| 2026-09 | 12 | $7K |
Which boards
Sports 67All markets 10
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
92% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $81K (92% maker / 8% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio92%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$81K
Maker rebate$75K
Taker rebate$6K
Maker share92%
Taker share8%
Window2026-03-18 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$3.59M
Rebate$13K
Net total$3.60M
Window2026-10-05 → 2026-11-04
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$456K
Verified lifetime PnL$1.21M
Verification gap$750K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)