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0x7ea7bcd658a253bfa78618a8e127cc73b54879ac
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 7% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 7%Verified PnL#575 of 624
Beats 68%30-day PnL#189 of 594
Beats 74%Win rate#151 of 592
Beats 4%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#594 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board36
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-27
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$113K
Verified lifetime PnL
$5.61MVolume
78.6%Win rate · n=238
-2.01%PnL ÷ Volume
$8K7-day PnL
$23K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$112.9K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $62only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$809partial
Liquidity rewards$2,516
-2.01% ROI64.5% Win rate · n=290
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$25.9K · loses the most in Politics -$65.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$44.1KUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Politics · No
- +$40.9KWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · Yes / No
- +$34.7KRecord turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Politics · No
- +$30.3KWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Politics · Yes
- +$19.5KJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$190.7KWill Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Politics · Yes
- -$48.1KUS military action against Iran by Sunday?Politics · No
- -$21.1KWill Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Politics · Yes
- -$13.7KUS military action against Iran before July?Politics · Yes / No
- -$12.2KUS military action against Iran by Monday?Politics · No
Covers the 239 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$113KVerified lifetime PnL
$140KBelow board-day sum
36Days on board
$27KBoard-day sum
$8K7-day PnL
$23K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $4K |
| 2026-05 | 11 | $12K |
| 2026-06 | 9 | $8K |
| 2026-07 | 6 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $446 |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $533 |
Which boards
Politics 36
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
97% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $809 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio97%
Fills measured499
Window ends2026-10-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$809
Maker rebate$809
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-05-22 → 2026-10-16
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$27K
Verified lifetime PnL-$113K
Verification gap-$140K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)