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0x7f15f350261a0dfa8bff802df364e33773d552f1
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 23% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 23%Verified PnL#476 of 625
Beats 31%30-day PnL#358 of 519
Beats 86%Win rate#78 of 566
Beats 57%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#254 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board6
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-06-08
Last seen2026-09-06
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$3K
Verified lifetime PnL
$219KVolume
86.5%Win rate (sample) · n=400
1.28%PnL ÷ Volume
$9767-day PnL
$94630-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$2,690
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $119only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$74partial
Liquidity rewards$130
1.23% ROI74.3% Win rate · n=466
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$1,727
Top 5 winning markets
- +$552Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Weather · Yes
- +$483Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics · Yes
- +$374Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports · No
- +$299Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics · Yes
- +$273Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Weather · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$292Will MrBeast hit 124.5 billion views by May 31?Culture · No / Yes
- -$266Will Erling Haaland win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · No
- -$219Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?Weather · No
- -$168Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Weather · Yes / No
- -$143Will there be more than 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?Tech & science · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
$3KVerified lifetime PnL
$2KEarned off the board
6Days on board
$452Board-day sum
$9767-day PnL
$94630-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 3 | $363 |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $75 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $14 |
Which boards
Weather 4Sports 1Culture 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
48% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $74 (86% maker / 14% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio48%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$74
Maker rebate$64
Taker rebate$10
Maker share86%
Taker share14%
Window2026-04-20 → 2026-10-07
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$452
Verified lifetime PnL$3K
Verification gap$2K
Trade on Polymarket
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)