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LucasMeow
0x7f3c8979d0afa00007bae4747d5347122af05613
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 81% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 81%Verified PnL#213 of 1130
Beats 47%30-day PnL#426 of 810
Beats 95%Win rate#40 of 928
Beats 72%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#263 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board41
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$306K
Verified lifetime PnL
$14.97MVolume
97.6%Win rate · n=209
2.04%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$305.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $859only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$651partial
Liquidity rewards$65
2.04% ROI95.3% Win rate · n=214
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$298.3K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$26.8KWill Solana dip to $140 in May?Crypto · No
- +$20.9KWill Solana dip to $80 in April?Crypto · No
- +$19.0KWill Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?Crypto · No
- +$14.0KWill Ethereum reach $4800 in October?Crypto · No
- +$11.3KWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Crypto · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$158Will the price of Ethereum be between $4200 and $4300 on August 25?Crypto · Yes
- -$41.33Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?Crypto · No
- -$22Will Ethereum reach $4900 in August?Crypto · No
- -$6Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on July 1?Crypto · Yes
Covers the 209 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 5 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$1,326). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$306KVerified lifetime PnL
$289KEarned off the board
41Days on board
$17KBoard-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $650 |
| 2026-05 | 5 | $909 |
| 2026-06 | 8 | $5K |
| 2026-07 | 12 | $6K |
| 2026-08 | 9 | $3K |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $889 |
Which boards
Crypto 41
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $651 (97% maker / 3% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$651
Maker rebate$634
Taker rebate$17
Maker share97%
Taker share3%
Window2026-04-09 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$17K
Verified lifetime PnL$306K
Verification gap$289K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)