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waterwaterwater

0x7f42267ac46ce8c160830b3052d93bba2cf236ff

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 25% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 25%Verified PnL#464 of 624
Beats 44%30-day PnL#333 of 594
Beats 43%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#350 of 620

Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board9
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-30
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up

At a glance

$6K

Verified lifetime PnL

$832KVolume
100%Win rate · n=2
0.71%PnL ÷ Volume
$4K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
2026-04 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$5,925

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $958only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$134partial
Liquidity rewards$31
0.71% ROI— Win rate · n=3

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleBuys near-certain outcomes68% of 73 buys at ≥ 90¢Mostly maker94% of 453 archived fills were maker (resting order) fillsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Crypto +$1,507

Crypto1 pos.+$1,507
Politics1 pos.+$32.84

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$1,507Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto · No
  2. +$32.84Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?Politics · No

Top 5 losing markets

No losing market in the sample.

Covers all 2 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01

$6KVerified lifetime PnL
$4KEarned off the board
9Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
$4K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-04 1 $99
2026-05 3 $627
2026-06 3 $755
2026-08 1 $147
2026-09 1 $440

Which boards

Culture 6Sports 3Crypto 1

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet

Measured layers

94% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $134 (35% maker / 65% taker)

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

passive (market maker)

Passive ratio94%
Fills measured453
Window ends2026-10-26
Window scope257 days

Visible rebates

Mixed rebate

Visible rebate total$134
Maker rebate$47
Taker rebate$87
Maker share35%
Taker share65%
Window2026-09-24 → 2026-10-21

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Holds up

Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL$6K
Verification gap$4K

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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)