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0x8007ad03470539b924f93d3d263981c39d05a8f4
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 22% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 22%Verified PnL#486 of 625
Beats 36%30-day PnL#329 of 519
Beats 61%Win rate#216 of 566
Beats 27%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#429 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board8
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-05-02
Last seen2026-09-08
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$1K
Verified lifetime PnL
$594KVolume
69.6%Win rate (sample) · n=398
0.21%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1,107
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $217only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$299partial
Liquidity rewards$115
0.19% ROI58.3% Win rate · n=475
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$13.7K · loses the most in Crypto -$59.34
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,017Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$1,278Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$1,236Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$1,040Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$1,003Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Culture · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,558Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?Culture · No / Yes
- -$1,016Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$879Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?Culture · No
- -$797Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Culture · No
- -$715Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?Culture · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
$1KVerified lifetime PnL
$325Earned off the board
8Days on board
$998Board-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 3 | $572 |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $240 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $186 |
Which boards
Culture 8
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
71% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $299 (99% maker / 1% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio71%
Fills measured497
Window ends2026-10-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$299
Maker rebate$296
Taker rebate$3
Maker share99%
Taker share1%
Window2026-04-01 → 2026-10-20
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$998
Verified lifetime PnL$1K
Verification gap$325
Trade on Polymarket
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)