ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsWolf771
0x8044886b3d8ee80e7bb0e202495d50491bedac75
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 13% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 13%Verified PnL#541 of 625
Beats 23%30-day PnL#397 of 519
Beats 41%Win rate#332 of 566
Beats 9%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#536 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board7
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-05-09
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$8K
Verified lifetime PnL
$920KVolume
58.8%Win rate · n=85
-0.85%PnL ÷ Volume
-$887-day PnL
-$12530-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$8,552
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$708
Rebates (maker + taker)$16partial
Liquidity rewards$0
-0.93% ROI38.8% Win rate · n=129
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$438 · loses the most in Sports -$2,273
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,625Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- +$1,676Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Sports · Yes
- +$1,103Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Sports · Yes
- +$559Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?Sports · Yes
- +$506Will France win on 2026-07-09?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4,798Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Sports · Yes
- -$1,062Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- -$1,008Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Sports · Yes
- -$987Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- -$977Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
Covers all 85 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
-$8KVerified lifetime PnL
$8KBelow board-day sum
7Days on board
$517Board-day sum
-$887-day PnL
-$12530-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 2 | $179 |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $263 |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $57 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $19 |
Which boards
Sports 6Weather 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
37% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $16 (7% maker / 93% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio37%
Fills measured303
Window ends2026-09-27
Window scope232 days
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$16
Maker rebate$1
Taker rebate$15
Maker share7%
Taker share93%
Window2026-06-03 → 2026-07-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$517
Verified lifetime PnL-$8K
Verification gap-$8K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)