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0x80c052f2189288b94e732083facd93ee590dc4f6
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 17% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 17%Verified PnL#513 of 624
Beats 26%30-day PnL#436 of 594
Beats 10%Win rate#531 of 592
Beats 14%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#533 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board9
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-08-13
Last seen2026-10-07
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$188
Verified lifetime PnL
$193KVolume
38%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-0.27%PnL ÷ Volume
$327-day PnL
-$15030-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$188
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,059only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$144partial
Liquidity rewards$1
-0.10% ROI31.3% Win rate · n=485
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$12.2K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$270Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 18?Weather · Yes
- +$240Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 12?Weather · Yes
- +$236Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 4?Weather · Yes
- +$234Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 2?Weather · Yes
- +$226Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 3?Weather · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$510Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 18?Weather · Yes
- -$354Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 12?Weather · Yes
- -$328Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 11?Weather · Yes
- -$312Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 3?Weather · Yes
- -$307Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?Weather · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$188Verified lifetime PnL
$2KBelow board-day sum
9Days on board
$1KBoard-day sum
$327-day PnL
-$15030-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 3 | $216 |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $186 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $916 |
Which boards
Weather 9
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
3% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $144 (0% maker / 100% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio3%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$144
Maker rebate$0
Taker rebate$144
Maker share0%
Taker share100%
Window2026-07-19 → 2026-10-21
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$1K
Verified lifetime PnL-$188
Verification gap-$2K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)