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← All boardsHaileyWelch
0x80cd8310aa624521e9e1b2b53b568cafb0ef0273
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 88% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 88%Verified PnL#73 of 624
Beats 10%30-day PnL#534 of 594
Beats 59%Win rate#238 of 592
Beats 60%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#245 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board34
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-29
Last seen2026-09-27
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$868K
Verified lifetime PnL
$62.24MVolume
69.2%Win rate (sample) · n=399
1.37%PnL ÷ Volume
$7K7-day PnL
-$19K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$868.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $4,242only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$6,267partial
Liquidity rewards$2,496
1.39% ROI51.9% Win rate · n=538
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$401.2K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$330.0KThunder vs. PacersSports · Thunder
- +$130.0KWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on June 6?Crypto · No
- +$129.2KThunder vs. TimberwolvesSports · Thunder
- +$118.9KBitcoin Up or Down on April 12?Crypto · Up / Down
- +$105.2KPacers vs. ThunderSports · Thunder
Top 5 losing markets
- -$189.2KSpread: Rams (-3.5)Sports · Rams
- -$139.8KThunder vs. PacersSports · Thunder
- -$118.7KWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on July 9?Crypto · Yes
- -$112.5KBitcoin Up or Down on April 5?Crypto · Up / Down
- -$92.2KBitcoin Up or Down on April 8?Crypto · Up
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$868KVerified lifetime PnL
$837KEarned off the board
34Days on board
$31KBoard-day sum
$7K7-day PnL
-$19K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $179 |
| 2026-05 | 8 | $6K |
| 2026-06 | 7 | $8K |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 10 | $5K |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $11K |
Which boards
Crypto 34
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
22% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $6K (38% maker / 62% taker); rebate covers 12% of recent trading losses
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio22%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$6K
Maker rebate$2K
Taker rebate$4K
Maker share38%
Taker share62%
Window2026-03-13 → 2026-10-08
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$15K
Rebate$2K
Net total-$13K
Rebate covers loss12%
Window2026-09-15 → 2026-10-15
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$31K
Verified lifetime PnL$868K
Verification gap$837K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)