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← All boardsSugarina
0x82882d761b0d7f18b2cc286117d10cd8a15a5519
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 30% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 30%Verified PnL#436 of 624
Beats 15%30-day PnL#503 of 594
Beats 0%Win rate#591 of 592
Beats 29%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#435 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board54
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-11-01
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$10K
Verified lifetime PnL
$4.03MVolume
7.9%Win rate (sample) · n=317
0.24%PnL ÷ Volume
-$3K7-day PnL
-$5K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$9,930
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $263only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$844partial
Liquidity rewards$54
0.25% ROI7.49% Win rate · n=334
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$308.6K · loses the most in Sports -$8,682
Top 5 winning markets
- +$6,505Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$5,720Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$5,156Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$5,119Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$5,113Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$3,440Wizards vs. PistonsSports · Pistons
- -$3,285Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$2,601Warriors vs. SunsSports · Suns
- -$2,520Grizzlies vs. WarriorsSports · Grizzlies
- -$2,427Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Culture · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$10KVerified lifetime PnL
$1KBelow board-day sum
54Days on board
$11KBoard-day sum
-$3K7-day PnL
-$5K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $200 |
| 2026-05 | 5 | $658 |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $582 |
| 2026-07 | 14 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 12 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 13 | $1K |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $4K |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $2K |
Which boards
Culture 54
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
86% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $844 (98% maker / 2% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio86%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$844
Maker rebate$830
Taker rebate$14
Maker share98%
Taker share2%
Window2026-04-02 → 2026-10-21
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$11K
Verified lifetime PnL$10K
Verification gap-$1K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)