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0x83720820a8aa6c3f20ad71850e7a1a17d16c5223
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 95% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 95%Verified PnL#28 of 624
Beats 96%30-day PnL#22 of 594
Beats 40%Win rate#352 of 592
Beats 81%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#116 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board39
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-28
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$2.34M
Verified lifetime PnL
$69.02MVolume
58.1%Win rate · n=253
2.55%PnL ÷ Volume
$276K7-day PnL
$672K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$2.34M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $4,081only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$55.6Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$2,248
3.39% ROI51.6% Win rate · n=285
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$3.81M · loses the most in Politics -$11.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1.91MWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- +$1.10MArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceSports · Argentina
- +$474.4KBelgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreSports · Yes
- +$368.9KUnited States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSports · Belgium
- +$305.7KLiverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Sports · Under
Top 5 losing markets
- -$486.3KSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceSports · Switzerland / Colombia
- -$422.4KWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- -$380.5KSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreSports · Yes
- -$369.8KFrance vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSports · Spain / France
- -$359.5KWill England win on 2026-07-11?Sports · Yes
Covers the 277 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$2.34MVerified lifetime PnL
$758KEarned off the board
39Days on board
$1.58MBoard-day sum
$276K7-day PnL
$672K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 3 | $3K |
| 2026-05 | 8 | $10K |
| 2026-06 | 9 | $86K |
| 2026-07 | 13 | $1.03M |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $12K |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $442K |
Which boards
Politics 25Sports 18All markets 10
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
98% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $56K (82% maker / 18% taker); rebate covers 2% of recent trading losses
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio98%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-27
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$56K
Maker rebate$46K
Taker rebate$10K
Maker share82%
Taker share18%
Window2026-04-09 → 2026-10-14
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$219K
Rebate$5K
Net total-$214K
Rebate covers loss2%
Window2026-09-14 → 2026-10-14
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$1.58M
Verified lifetime PnL$2.34M
Verification gap$758K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)