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0x84389cfc4a652ea14d8d8be969769b1f69de3680
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 51% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 51%Verified PnL#306 of 624
Beats 76%30-day PnL#143 of 594
Beats 58%Win rate#244 of 592
Beats 83%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#104 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board6
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-09-10
Last seen2026-10-03
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$53K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.74MVolume
68.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
2.79%PnL ÷ Volume
$19K7-day PnL
$46K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$53.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,234only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2,971partial
Liquidity rewards$0
3.07% ROI30.6% Win rate · n=900
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$36.5K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$5,657Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$4,331Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETCrypto · Down
- +$2,863Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$2,817Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETCrypto · Up / Down
- +$2,767Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETCrypto · Up
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,573Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETCrypto · Down
- -$2,292Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$2,145Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$2,078Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$1,975Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETCrypto · Up
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$53KVerified lifetime PnL
$40KEarned off the board
6Days on board
$13KBoard-day sum
$19K7-day PnL
$46K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | 5 | $1K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $11K |
Which boards
Crypto 6
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
0% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $3K (15% maker / 85% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio0%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-28
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$3K
Maker rebate$432
Taker rebate$3K
Maker share15%
Taker share85%
Window2026-01-08 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$13K
Verified lifetime PnL$53K
Verification gap$40K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)