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0x84d3e37ad85b7ce551b0b4d6bb9c19551f73b286
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 28% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 28%Verified PnL#449 of 624
Beats 19%30-day PnL#478 of 594
Beats 60%Win rate#234 of 592
Beats 45%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#337 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board6
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-07-29
Last seen2026-08-31
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$8K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.07MVolume
69.6%Win rate · n=171
0.77%PnL ÷ Volume
-$4K7-day PnL
-$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$8,297
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $156only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$136partial
Liquidity rewards$7
0.77% ROI69.6% Win rate · n=171
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$8,325
Top 5 winning markets
- +$569Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11?Crypto · No
- +$466Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Crypto · No
- +$432Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Crypto · No
- +$418Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?Crypto · No
- +$401Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?Crypto · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$274Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?Crypto · Yes
- -$44.01Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? Crypto · Yes
- -$8.15Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETCrypto · Up
- -$4.34Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETCrypto · Up
- -$4.22Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETCrypto · Up
Covers all 172 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$8KVerified lifetime PnL
$8KEarned off the board
6Days on board
$597Board-day sum
-$4K7-day PnL
-$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 1 | $138 |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $459 |
Which boards
Crypto 6
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
88% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $136 (98% maker / 2% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio88%
Fills measured469
Window ends2026-10-29
Window scope35 days
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$136
Maker rebate$133
Taker rebate$2
Maker share98%
Taker share2%
Window2026-04-04 → 2026-10-30
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$597
Verified lifetime PnL$8K
Verification gap$8K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)