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0x852eaa709e9e502489b3c3f6c967493342a9ca77
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 15% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 15%Verified PnL#525 of 624
Beats 78%30-day PnL#126 of 594
Beats 20%Win rate#471 of 592
Beats 16%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#515 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board19
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-30
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$2K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.94MVolume
47.9%Win rate (sample) · n=397
-0.08%PnL ÷ Volume
$58K7-day PnL
$61K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$2,247
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $143only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,747partial
Liquidity rewards$1,458
-0.08% ROI39.5% Win rate · n=481
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$5,298 · loses the most in Sports -$29.1K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,723Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Sports · No / Yes
- +$865Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Sports · Yes
- +$821Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$764Will Pete Crow-Armstrong hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?Sports · Yes
- +$581Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$7,220Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports · No
- -$7,036Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports · No
- -$3,609Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Sports · No
- -$3,289Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?Sports · No
- -$1,604Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$2KVerified lifetime PnL
$4KBelow board-day sum
19Days on board
$1KBoard-day sum
$58K7-day PnL
$61K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 2 | $530 |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $248 |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $19 |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $117 |
| 2026-09 | 11 | $435 |
Which boards
Sports 16Crypto 3
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
33% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2K (55% maker / 45% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio33%
Fills measured498
Window ends2026-10-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$967
Taker rebate$779
Maker share55%
Taker share45%
Window2026-01-09 → 2026-10-30
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$1K
Verified lifetime PnL-$2K
Verification gap-$4K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)