ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
WarriorPooh
0x853c37a959a5791b849e3f3225c7f5963746bd03
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 68% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 68%Verified PnL#198 of 624
Beats 52%30-day PnL#285 of 594
Beats 28%Win rate#424 of 592
Beats 67%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#205 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board32
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-28
Last seen2026-09-18
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$172K
Verified lifetime PnL
$9.99MVolume
52%Win rate (sample) · n=400
1.71%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
$7K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$172.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,463only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$547partial
Liquidity rewards$3,859
1.72% ROI47.6% Win rate · n=437
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$162.6K · loses the most in Culture -$1,660
Top 5 winning markets
- +$27.3KUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · Yes
- +$27.0KWill Trump visit China by March 31?Politics · Yes / No
- +$17.7KRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$13.2KWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$10.8KUS strikes Nigeria by December 31?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$11.5KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics · No / Yes
- -$6,231Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?Politics · Yes
- -$5,976Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics · No
- -$5,547Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?Politics · Yes
- -$5,056Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$172KVerified lifetime PnL
$137KEarned off the board
32Days on board
$35KBoard-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
$7K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $395 |
| 2026-05 | 9 | $23K |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $7K |
| 2026-07 | 10 | $4K |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $117 |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $472 |
Which boards
Politics 26Finance 3Tech 2All markets 1Sports 1Mentions 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
66% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $547 (75% maker / 25% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio66%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$547
Maker rebate$410
Taker rebate$137
Maker share75%
Taker share25%
Window2026-04-15 → 2026-10-20
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$35K
Verified lifetime PnL$172K
Verification gap$137K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)