ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
LJa7io23MCv954j
0x85a85805bcbdf2e629788adac1420b6b53949281
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 19% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 19%Verified PnL#934 of 1156
Beats 87%Win rate#126 of 963
Beats 15%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#849 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board48
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-06-07
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$4K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.29MVolume
89.1%Win rate · n=137
-0.30%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$3,876
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $428only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$519
-0.30% ROI68.2% Win rate · n=179
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$761 · loses the most in Politics -$5,742
Top 5 winning markets
- +$13.3KIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics · No
- +$9,243 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics · No
- +$5,295Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics · No
- +$4,684Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics · No
- +$4,511US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$18.7KWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics · No
- -$8,400Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics · No
- -$6,426Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?Politics · No
- -$6,000US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Politics · Yes
- -$4,450US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Politics · Yes
Covers all 180 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 42 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$80.2K). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$4KVerified lifetime PnL
$21KBelow board-day sum
48Days on board
$17KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 12 | $5K |
| 2026-07 | 14 | $4K |
| 2026-08 | 12 | $5K |
| 2026-09 | 10 | $2K |
Which boards
Politics 45Tech 6Finance 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
88% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio88%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$17K
Verified lifetime PnL-$4K
Verification gap-$21K
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)