ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
0x85ee84be…
0x85ee84be50f99d9ec7c379f9c56442aa7529a64a
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 27% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 27%Verified PnL#839 of 1156
Beats 49%Win rate#487 of 963
Beats 51%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#488 of 1000
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board12
Archive span207 days
First seen2026-06-18
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$1K
Verified lifetime PnL
$112KVolume
65.1%Win rate (sample) · n=398
0.89%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1,203
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $58only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$4
1.08% ROI65.1% Win rate · n=398
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$522 · loses the most in Culture -$563
Top 5 winning markets
- +$143Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" this week?Politics · Yes
- +$121Will Alani Bankhead be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?Politics · Yes
- +$112Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?Politics · No
- +$92.74Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on September 16?Weather · No / Yes
- +$90.67Will Trump say "Marijuana", "Weed", or "Cannabis" this week?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$182Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?Sports · No
- -$172Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 15?Weather · Yes
- -$171Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics · No
- -$162Will Tariq Obaid as Taro Sakamoto (SAKAMOTO DAYS) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Arabic) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?Culture · No
- -$98.57Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Culture · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$1KVerified lifetime PnL
$584Earned off the board
12Days on board
$619Board-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 5 | $243 |
| 2026-07 | 6 | $327 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $50 |
Which boards
Mentions 11Weather 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
2% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio2%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-02
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$619
Verified lifetime PnL$1K
Verification gap$584
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)