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RJW1
0x85f031d069de300055900c4055c1baeb6bde3f67
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 7% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 7%Verified PnL#1048 of 1130
Beats 2%30-day PnL#790 of 810
Beats 97%Win rate#23 of 928
Beats 61%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#364 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board32
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-10-11
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$104K
Verified lifetime PnL
$36.04MVolume
99.1%Win rate · n=108
1.34%PnL ÷ Volume
$920K7-day PnL
-$190K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$104.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $368only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$66.2Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$3,424
-0.29% ROI38.2% Win rate · n=280
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
No category in profit; worst is Sports -$88.5K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$692.4KWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- +$504.4KWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Sports · Yes
- +$294.7KWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?Sports · Yes
- +$278.4KSpread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Sports · FC Barcelona
- +$241.6KWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Sports · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$498.1KWill France win on 2026-07-14?Sports · Yes
- -$404.7KWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- -$338.8KKnicks vs. 76ersSports · Knicks
- -$334.7KWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?Sports · Yes
- -$310.4KWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?Sports · Yes
Covers all 312 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 172 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$10.52M). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$104KVerified lifetime PnL
$1.52MBelow board-day sum
32Days on board
$1.42MBoard-day sum
$920K7-day PnL
-$190K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 3 | $160K |
| 2026-05 | 10 | $209K |
| 2026-06 | 8 | $462K |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $473K |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $422 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $13 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $111K |
Which boards
Sports 32All markets 14
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
99% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $66K (95% maker / 5% taker); rebate covers 4% of recent trading losses
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio99%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$66K
Maker rebate$63K
Taker rebate$3K
Maker share95%
Taker share5%
Window2026-04-05 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$528K
Rebate$20K
Net total-$508K
Rebate covers loss4%
Window2026-10-05 → 2026-11-04
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$1.42M
Verified lifetime PnL-$104K
Verification gap-$1.52M
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)