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0x8673d3a19c559f43241312894bb82fc4fd8559a5
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 12% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 12%Verified PnL#544 of 624
Beats 24%30-day PnL#451 of 594
Beats 11%Win rate#524 of 592
Beats 2%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#602 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board15
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-08-26
Last seen2026-10-30
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$11K
Verified lifetime PnL
$418KVolume
39.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-2.82%PnL ÷ Volume
$4737-day PnL
-$47730-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$10.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $9only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,176partial
Liquidity rewards$671
-2.54% ROI39.8% Win rate · n=400
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$1,269 · loses the most in Tech & science -$5,109
Top 5 winning markets
- +$487Will Trump say "Meat" or "Steak" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Politics · No
- +$360Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Politics · No
- +$347Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?Politics · No
- +$319Will Trump say "Antifa" in August?Politics · No
- +$296Will Trump say "Fish" or "Fishing" or "Fisherman" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$678Will Dell say "Tailwind" during earnings call?Tech & science · No
- -$584Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?Politics · No
- -$536Will Dell say "Nvidia" during earnings call?Tech & science · No
- -$519Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$445Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Tech & science · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$11KVerified lifetime PnL
$13KBelow board-day sum
15Days on board
$3KBoard-day sum
$4737-day PnL
-$47730-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 2 | $402 |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $852 |
| 2026-10 | 4 | $1K |
Which boards
Mentions 10Crypto 3Tech 2Finance 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
91% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (99% maker / 1% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio91%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-27
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$1K
Taker rebate$11
Maker share99%
Taker share1%
Window2026-08-21 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$3K
Verified lifetime PnL-$11K
Verification gap-$13K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)