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0x86b14772a4da70f3e6d5eee06933ebef143efc87
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 53% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 53%Verified PnL#523 of 1130
Beats 69%30-day PnL#251 of 810
Beats 35%Win rate#601 of 928
Beats 28%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#683 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board7
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-05-06
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$42K
Verified lifetime PnL
$10.10MVolume
57.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.19%PnL ÷ Volume
$8K7-day PnL
$26K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$42.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $42only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$20.3Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$0
0.42% ROI26.3% Win rate · n=899
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$31.7K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$8,209Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETCrypto · Up
- +$5,132Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETCrypto · Down
- +$5,106Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 11AM ETCrypto · Up
- +$3,881Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7AM ETCrypto · Up
- +$3,862Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETCrypto · Up
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,095Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6AM ETCrypto · Up
- -$1,739Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETCrypto · Down
- -$1,658Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETCrypto · Down
- -$1,590Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETCrypto · Up / Down
- -$1,581Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETCrypto · Down
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 1776 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$61.3K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$42KVerified lifetime PnL
$42KEarned off the board
7Days on board
$948Board-day sum
$8K7-day PnL
$26K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 2 | $392 |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $556 |
Which boards
Crypto 7
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
91% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $20K (97% maker / 4% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio91%
Fills measured495
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$20K
Maker rebate$20K
Taker rebate$713
Maker share97%
Taker share4%
Window2026-01-08 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
Insufficient data
Trade cash$1.15M
Rebate$11K
Net total$1.16M
Window2026-10-05 → 2026-11-04
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$948
Verified lifetime PnL$42K
Verification gap$42K
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)