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forecastication4
0x885ffdf360e5b0b6e6acb963fb3f8ba2344c8ed9
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 73% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 73%Verified PnL#295 of 1130
Beats 84%30-day PnL#123 of 810
Beats 91%Win rate#78 of 928
Beats 85%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#139 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board34
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-07-22
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$159K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.79MVolume
93.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
3.45%PnL ÷ Volume
$79K7-day PnL
$107K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$159.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $4only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$5,423partial
Liquidity rewards$1,503
5.70% ROI41.9% Win rate · n=891
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$591.8K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$12.5KAtlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles DodgersSports · Atlanta Braves
- +$11.9KSpread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Sports · Ipswich Town FC
- +$10.2KCincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta BravesSports · Cincinnati Reds / Atlanta Braves
- +$8,725Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01?Sports · Yes / No
- +$8,250Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)Sports · Chiefs
Top 5 losing markets
- -$7,337Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 5.5Sports · Over
- -$4,230Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana FeverSports · Minnesota Lynx
- -$2,811Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysSports · Yes
- -$2,576Timberwolves vs. KnicksSports · Knicks
- -$2,486Columbia vs. MaristSports · Columbia / Marist
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 2645 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$759.8K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$159KVerified lifetime PnL
$105KEarned off the board
34Days on board
$54KBoard-day sum
$79K7-day PnL
$107K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 5 | $4K |
| 2026-08 | 19 | $35K |
| 2026-09 | 10 | $16K |
Which boards
Sports 34All markets 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
98% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $5K (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio98%
Fills measured484
Window ends2026-10-15
Window scope6 days
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$5K
Maker rebate$5K
Taker rebate$13
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-07-21 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$54K
Verified lifetime PnL$159K
Verification gap$105K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)