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0x8888a4f8c8d3834482d77405530d7f5428a40b39
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 9% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 9%Verified PnL#563 of 625
Beats 54%30-day PnL#237 of 519
Beats 39%Win rate#344 of 566
Beats 14%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#508 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board42
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-05-03
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$34K
Verified lifetime PnL
$15.93MVolume
57.5%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-0.24%PnL ÷ Volume
$4K7-day PnL
$9K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$36.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,485only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$3,057partial
Liquidity rewards$0
-0.23% ROI26.4% Win rate · n=873
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$15.5K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$4,211Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$3,744Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$2,439Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Finance · Yes
- +$2,376Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETCrypto · Up
- +$2,364Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETCrypto · Up
Top 5 losing markets
- -$8,530Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?Crypto · No
- -$4,023Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3PM ETCrypto · Up / Down
- -$2,382Solana Up or Down - March 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETCrypto · Down
- -$1,951Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETCrypto · Down
- -$1,943Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETCrypto · Up
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
-$34KVerified lifetime PnL
$43KBelow board-day sum
42Days on board
$9KBoard-day sum
$4K7-day PnL
$9K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 3 | $975 |
| 2026-06 | 5 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 16 | $4K |
| 2026-08 | 8 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 10 | $841 |
Which boards
Finance 24Crypto 21Sports 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
0% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $3K (2% maker / 98% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio0%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$3K
Maker rebate$64
Taker rebate$3K
Maker share2%
Taker share98%
Window2026-02-15 → 2026-10-30
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$9K
Verified lifetime PnL-$34K
Verification gap-$43K
Trade on Polymarket
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)