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0x88b59d79b6e1659c95a0043028e5bb7a26e6205c
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 69% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 69%Verified PnL#194 of 624
Beats 86%30-day PnL#81 of 594
Beats 19%Win rate#479 of 592
Beats 45%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#336 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board18
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-13
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$178K
Verified lifetime PnL
$11.77MVolume
46.6%Win rate (sample) · n=386
0.78%PnL ÷ Volume
$88K7-day PnL
$128K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$177.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $948only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$669partial
Liquidity rewards$1,104
1.51% ROI42.1% Win rate · n=427
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$247.6K · loses the most in Other -$5,167
Top 5 winning markets
- +$92.4KWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- +$86.4KWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Politics · Yes
- +$44.1KWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Politics · Yes
- +$38.4KWill Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Politics · Yes / No
- +$37.0KWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$85.5KWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · Yes / No
- -$60.6KWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Politics · Yes / No
- -$26.7KFavorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?Politics · Trump / Kamala
- -$25.6KWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Politics · Yes / No
- -$18.2K2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D HousePolitics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$178KVerified lifetime PnL
$41KEarned off the board
18Days on board
$137KBoard-day sum
$88K7-day PnL
$128K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $106K |
| 2026-05 | 2 | $542 |
| 2026-06 | 10 | $30K |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $55 |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $533 |
Which boards
Politics 18
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
85% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $669 (95% maker / 5% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio85%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-05
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$669
Maker rebate$634
Taker rebate$35
Maker share95%
Taker share5%
Window2026-04-13 → 2026-10-09
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$137K
Verified lifetime PnL$178K
Verification gap$41K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)