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OrbitSugarFree
0x890d33f9c1620806a98341c243f782fa63b215ac
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 23% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
-$320
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$3,702
Top 5 winning markets
- +$109.2KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- +$13.5KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · No / Yes
- +$12.1KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- +$2,238Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics · Yes / No
- +$2,238Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$36.9KWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$36.5KWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$36.4KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$4,842Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$4,766Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
Covers all 80 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 2 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$5,375). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 2 | $97 |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $187 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
No method layer measured yet for this address.
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)