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← All boardsJamieeee
0x8a4ec9c5684b23599bb1dd827b8a5673c2fab38c
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 24% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 24%Verified PnL#470 of 625
Beats 89%Win rate#58 of 566
Beats 58%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#244 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board34
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-04-29
Last seen2026-09-29
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$3K
Verified lifetime PnL
$259KVolume
88.9%Win rate (sample) · n=397
1.37%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$3,098
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $158only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$254
1.20% ROI40.3% Win rate · n=877
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$5,166 · loses the most in Crypto -$95.71
Top 5 winning markets
- +$278Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?Culture · No
- +$172Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by April 30, 2026?Politics · No
- +$135Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 15+ times during remarks at Steel Across America?Politics · Yes
- +$113Will Trump say "F-15" or "F-15E" during events with Rutte?Politics · No
- +$113Will Trump post "Invasion" on Truth Social this week?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$94.84Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 6+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?Culture · No / Yes
- -$76.76Will "Biden" or "Kamala" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Culture · No
- -$76.06Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during Friday roundtable?Politics · Yes
- -$71.67Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?Culture · Yes
- -$64.91Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Culture · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
$3KVerified lifetime PnL
$2KEarned off the board
34Days on board
$778Board-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $105 |
| 2026-05 | 8 | $141 |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $195 |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $89 |
| 2026-08 | 7 | $140 |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $109 |
Which boards
Mentions 34
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
73% passive fills in the recent window
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio73%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-27
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$778
Verified lifetime PnL$3K
Verification gap$2K
Trade on Polymarket
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)