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BrotherObama
0x8a8685a792c184e5c2ee8c7d4d4baba7c2c94998
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 6% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 6%Verified PnL#585 of 624
Beats 7%30-day PnL#550 of 594
Beats 52%Win rate#283 of 592
Beats 11%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#551 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board15
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-07-07
Last seen2026-10-30
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$192K
Verified lifetime PnL
$34.20MVolume
65%Win rate · n=360
-0.64%PnL ÷ Volume
$92K7-day PnL
-$53K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$191.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $397.1Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$144.3Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$21
-0.56% ROI37.8% Win rate · n=619
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$4.95M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$206.7KSeattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Sports · Over
- +$163.3KSeattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Sports · Over
- +$161.4KToronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Sports · Over
- +$139.0KPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesSports · Atlanta Braves
- +$135.2KChicago White Sox vs. Houston AstrosSports · Chicago White Sox
Top 5 losing markets
- -$168.5KToronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Sports · Over
- -$106.1KToronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesSports · Toronto Blue Jays
- -$102.6KLoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals PlayoffsSports · JD Gaming
- -$101.1KLoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsSports · Dplus KIA
- -$100.0KSpread: Rams (-2.5)Sports · Rams
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$192KVerified lifetime PnL
$1.30MBelow board-day sum
15Days on board
$1.11MBoard-day sum
$92K7-day PnL
-$53K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 1 | $56K |
| 2026-09 | 11 | $695K |
| 2026-10 | 3 | $355K |
Which boards
Sports 14All markets 12
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
10% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $144K (1% maker / 99% taker); rebate covers 20% of recent trading losses
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio10%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$144K
Maker rebate$1K
Taker rebate$143K
Maker share1%
Taker share99%
Window2026-07-08 → 2026-10-30
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$277K
Rebate$56K
Net total-$220K
Rebate covers loss20%
Window2026-09-30 → 2026-10-30
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$1.11M
Verified lifetime PnL-$192K
Verification gap-$1.30M
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)