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Joe-Biden

0x8b5a7da2fdf239b51b9c68a2a1a35bb156d200f2

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 92% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 92%Verified PnL#45 of 624
Beats 8%30-day PnL#542 of 594
Beats 31%Win rate#408 of 592
Beats 92%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#48 of 620

Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board57
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-26
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up

At a glance

$1.49M

Verified lifetime PnL

$35.25MVolume
53%Win rate · n=281
4.28%PnL ÷ Volume
-$15K7-day PnL
-$27K30-day PnL
2026-04 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1.49M

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $360only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$13.3Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$4,750
4.24% ROI38.7% Win rate · n=385

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleLongshot buyer74% of 500 buys at ≤ 10¢Mostly maker100% of 500 archived fills were maker (resting order) fillsHolds to settlementSells are only 0% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 49.3 days)Mainly sports65% of last 500 fills (over 49.3 days) are sports marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Sports +$3.22M

Sports144 pos.+$3.22M
Politics106 pos.+$719.8K
Other14 pos.+$95.9K
Tech & science10 pos.+$8,179
Crypto7 pos.+$2,560
Finance1 pos.+$206

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$932.1KRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics · No
  2. +$652.9KWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
  3. +$239.7KBiden drops out of presidential race?Politics · Yes
  4. +$210.6KWill the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Sports · Yes
  5. +$190.7KWill Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?Sports · Yes

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$198.9KWill someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Politics · Yes
  2. -$124.4KWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · No
  3. -$106.4KWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Politics · Yes
  4. -$96.6KFIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)Sports · Real Madrid
  5. -$85.9KWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · Yes

Covers the 282 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01

$1.49MVerified lifetime PnL
$728KEarned off the board
57Days on board
$767KBoard-day sum
-$15K7-day PnL
-$27K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-04 2 $15K
2026-05 2 $1K
2026-06 15 $375K
2026-07 12 $307K
2026-08 16 $46K
2026-09 10 $22K

Which boards

Sports 27Politics 19Crypto 9All markets 9Finance 7Culture 3Weather 2Mentions 2

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen

Measured layers

100% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $13K (78% maker / 22% taker); rebate covers 0% of recent trading losses

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

passive (market maker)

Passive ratio100%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-20
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Maker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$13K
Maker rebate$10K
Taker rebate$3K
Maker share78%
Taker share22%
Window2026-06-01 → 2026-10-02

Profit composition

Rebate covering trading losses

Trade cash-$44K
Rebate$137
Net total-$43K
Rebate covers loss0%
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12

Verification check

Holds up

Board-day sum$767K
Verified lifetime PnL$1.49M
Verification gap$728K

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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)